|
A TALE OF TWO DRAFTS
By Perry Van Hook
Premium Contributor
Courtesy of
www.FantasyFootball.com
By now you have all finished your drafts. Hopefully some of you were
able to compete in one or more of the events at the National Fantasy
Football Championship (NFFC) or the World Championship of Fantasy
Football (WCOFF).
Whether you did or not however I think you will find this article very
interesting. It will show the round by round draft in the NFFC by Todd
Ullman and Richard Berger, last year’s winners of WCOFF. That draft will
be critiqued by Rob Bennetti, last year’s winner at the NFFC. Then
Bennetti’s draft in the WCOFF will be critiqued by Ullman.
In addition, at this year’s competitions, Greg Ambrosius, the NFFC
founder and Editor of Fantasy Sports Magazine for Krause Publications
will compete in the WCOFF, while Jesse Herron and Dustin Ashby the new
owners of the WCOFF drafted last week in the NFFC. We will have their
drafts critiqued by the operator of the contest they drafted in.
This highly unique format, an exclusive to FantasyFootball.com, will
give you a lot of information about how to draft in the two premier
events in Fantasy Football.
Todd Ullman (2006
WCOFF Champion) – 2007 NFFC Draft
Saturday, September 1 – 14 team leagues with 3rd Round
Reversal of draft order
Drafting at #10
1.10 - Shaun Alexander, RB, SEA
2.05 - Chad Johnson, WR, CIN
3.05 - Lee Evans, WR, BUF
4.10 - Tatum Bell, RB, DET
5.05 - Donovan McNabb, QB, PHL
6.10 - Lendale White, RB, TEN
7.05 - Kevin Curtis, WR, PHL
8.10 - Chris Brown, RB, TEN
9.05 - Jacoby Jones, WR, HOU
10.10- Sammy Morris, RB, NE
11.05- Heath Miller, TE, PIT
12.10- Joey Harrington, QB, ATL
13.05- Dennis Northcutt, WR, JAX
14.10- Neal Rackers, K, AZ
15.05- Minnesota Vikings DST
16.10- Desmond Clark, TE, CHI
17.05- San Francisco 49ers DST
18.10- Roscoe Parrish, WR, BUF
Here are the defending Champ’s comments on Todd’s draft:
1.10 Shaun Alexander, RB1: It wasn’t too long ago that Alexander
was a consensus top 4 RB. He was slowed last year by injury and
Hasselbeck in my opinion. If he is healthy and regains his form, he
could be the steal of the draft.
2.05 Chad Johnson, WR1: If I was drafting in this position he
would have been one of two players I would hope to have drop to me,
Steve Smith would have been the other. The number one WR and a potential
TD machine after two rounds is the ideal start in this format from that
position.
3.05 Lee Evans, WR2: I targeted Evans as my #2 this year in as
many leagues as I could get him. He scares some folks away because he is
not as consistent on a weekly basis but with the NFFC’s 13 week regular
season and total points as a way into the Championship Round, I know he
will get his points. Very nice pick in this format.
4.10 Tatum Bell, RB2: At the time of our drafts it was not yet
known that Kevin Jones was not going to be placed on the pup list but he
is trying to rush back from a Lisfranc injury anyway. This is an injury
that can linger or become aggravated quite easily. Bell fits nicely into
this offense and if he holds the job he could be a home run.
5.05 Donovan McNabb, QB1: McNabb sits at the end of the group of
QBs I would consider taking before the 8th or 9th
round in the NFFC. Before his injury he averaged more points than any
other QB while he was playing last year. I believe he is healthy enough
to produce as an elite fantasy QB in 2007. Nice pick.
6.10 Lendale White, RB3(a): If I had taken a QB in round 5 my
draft style would have been to secure my 3rd starting WR or
possibly one of the elite TEs. White was handed the keys to the Titans
running game but he drove to Krispy Kreme instead. Todd did secure the
Titans running game in round 8 by taking Brown. Taking Tatum somewhat
forced this pick.
7.05 Kevin Curtis, WR3: He seems to be on the same page as
McNabb and he will be very involved in that offense. He is a solid #3 WR
in this format. Todd will also get to experience the QB/WR daily double
when they find pay dirt. Nicely done.
8.10 Chris Brown, RB3(b): Todd obviously wanted to ensure his 3rd
RB by securing the Titans rushing game. He now has his core lineup
almost set and he can start adding depth. The top tier TEs are likely
gone and the best of the rest do not warrant a look over RB/WR depth
9.05 Jacoby Jones, WR4: He has picked up the speed of the NFL
very quickly and will be a fixture in that offense in the very near
future. I personally like to have a surer bet for my 4th WR
but his upside is off the charts. He could be fantasy gold this year
10.10 Sammy Morris, RB4: Morris backs up Maroney who is coming off
of a shoulder surgery in the 2nd best offense in the NFL. If
Maroney goes down Todd could have a very productive back.
11.05 Heath Miller, TE1: I consider him a serviceable TE and one
who should get 4 or 5 looks a game. He is also a red zone target. Todd
showed good patience while waiting for the right time to take his first
TE. He built good depth at RB and now his core team is set.
12.10 Joey Harrington, QB2: The only thing I like about Harrington
paired with McNabb is that Atlanta plays Tennessee in week 5 when McNabb
gets a rest. There are only a few starters in the NFL that I wouldn’t
want ahead of Harrington right now but hopefully McNabb stays healthy
but given the injury he is coming back from – I would have tried to get
a solid QB2.
13.05 Dennis Northcutt, WR5:.The Jaguar WR core is one I stayed
away from but Northcutt is experienced and could be decent bye week
filler.
14.10 Neil Rackers, K1: I never usually take a kicker in this
format that early. His percentage went from 95% in 2005 to 76% in 2006.
On the flip-side, he is on an offense that will be able to move the
ball, they play in great weather and he has a week 8 bye meaning this
position will not need to be re-visited for several weeks.
15.05 Vikings, DEF1: As with kickers, I usually wait a little
longer and try and secure the players I want in the skilled positions
instead. I then play bye week matchups. This was a great pick because of
their schedule in the first four weeks.
16.10 Des Clark, TE2: I have been very high on Olsen all summer
but his injury will allow Des to fill the role. He led the Demon Deacons
in receptions and just needs to be given a chance. I think Olsen hurts
his value quite a bit when he comes back but right now it is his job.
Not a bad insurance policy behind Heath Miller.
17.05 49ers, DEF2: I never take two. I would always rather take a
flyer on a WR or RB with upside. The 49ers host Baltimore when the Vikes
are on a bye.
18.10
Roscoe Parrish, WR6: I have been hearing that the Bills
would like to get this kid more involved in the offense and his TD
return on Sunday shows you why. Is Roscoe Parrish Todd’s Colston from
2006?
The NFFC 14 team format usually leads to most teams leaving the
draft with at least one hole at one or more positions. It is just a
matter of pure numbers as the studs are split out over at least two more
teams than most folks are accustomed.
Todd left the draft with no real holes. He selected a top tier QB
to go along with arguably the best WR in the game and a RB who could be
a top 5 back. He added RB depth as he now has at least 2 options behind
his stud. His starting 3 WRs are excellent and he could have this year’s
Colston in Jacoby Jones. Harrington and Northcutt will likely be Todd’s
bye week lambs but the rest of the team is well balanced.
This is a solid team that should contend for its league title and
beyond.
Jesse Herron and
Dustin Ashby (the new owners of the WCOFF) 2007 NFFC Draft
Saturday, September 1 – 14 team leagues with 3rd Round
Reversal of draft order
Drafting at #14
1.14 - Willis McGahee, RB, BAL
2.01 - Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAX
3.01 - Roy Williams, WR, DET
4.14 - Plaxico Burress, WR, NYG
5.01 - Reggie Brown, WR, PHL
6.14 - Kellen Winslow, TE, CLE
7.01 - Mark Clayton, WR, BAL
8.14 - Jay Cutler, QB, DEN
9.01 - Dominic Rhodes, RB, OAK
10.14- Reuben Droughns, RB, NYG
11.01- Bobby Wade, WR, MIN
12.14- Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC
13.01- Roydell Williams, WR, TEN
14.14- Miami Dolphins DST
15.01- Jeff Wilkins, K, STL
16.14- Tony Scheffler, TE, DEN
17.01- Joey Harrington, QB, ATL
18.14- Jerome Harrison, RB, CLE
Now their draft analyzed by Greg Ambrosius, Founder of the NFFC, and
Editor of Fantasy Sports Magazines.
“I’ve known Jesse Herron and Dustin Ashby since they joined our National
Fantasy Baseball Championship in 2004 and I’ve respected them as fantasy
players since. They always come into a draft with an exact plan, they
are relentless working the waiver wires for their many teams and they
are always looking for that extra point to make the difference in the
final outcome. I trust nothing will change this year in the NFFC.
Since I can look at their KDS preferences, it’s fun to see how this
draft unfolded. Jesse and Dustin were picked 8th out of the
hat in Las Vegas League 5, but they wound up with their third
preference. They had 1, 2 as their top two preferences and then had 14,
13 as their next two preferences. They wound up with the 14th
pick and immediately you could see the WR-WR strategy coming.
I
know Jesse was thinking that way, but when Steve Smith went to Team 13,
they went RB-RB with Willis McGahee and Maurice Jones-Drew. They then
grabbed three solid receivers with their next three picks and filled in
nicely the rest of the way. This is going to be a solid team and one of
many fighting for the $100,000 grand prize.
Here’s a look at each of their picks:
-
Willis McGahee:
McGahee went 14th or 15th in 12 of 26 NFFC
main event leagues and went higher than that only twice. This was a
safe, solid foundation piece as he should score consistently as the
team’s RB1.
-
Maurice
Jones-Drew: One other NFFC team started this way (New York 8), but
in 22 of 26 main event leagues he went after the 15th
pick. Cedric Benson and Chad Johnson went right after this pick and
I might have been tempted to take either one. But the RB foundation
had been set.
-
Roy Williams: His
ADP in the NFFC Satellite Leagues was 26, so this was a nice bargain
to start 3RR (29th pick). He went in the second round in
22 of 26 NFFC leagues, so this was a solid pick. This is one of the
reasons they chose 14 as one of their Top 3 KDS preferences.
-
Plaxico Burress:
He went higher than this in 15 of the 26 leagues and his NFFC ADP
from satellite leagues was 48 (this was the 56th pick).
So again, not a bad bargain, although he could be an injury risk.
-
Reggie Brown:
Brown went lower than this in 15 of 26 NFFC drafts, but his ADP was
55, so it was a worthy choice. Julius Jones and Vincent Jackson were
also on the board and went right after this pick. Still, this rounds
out a solid receiving corp.
-
Kellen Winslow:
He went higher than this in 15 of 26 drafts and at this same spot in
two other leagues. He went right at his Satellite ADP (84) and in a
PPR league this is a solid addition to the TE spot. Vernon Davis and
Jeremy Shockey were still on the board and went two and three picks
later, respectively.
-
Mark Clayton:
Clayton’s Satellite League ADP was 79, so this was solid value once
again. Other choices on the board at that time included Bernard
Berrian, Donte Stallworth, Greg Jennings and Terry Glenn.
-
Jay Cutler:
Cutler was taken higher than this (112th overall) in 13
of 26 leagues, so this is solid value. Cutler could be a solid QB1
if he can get on the same page with Javon Walker. In LV3, he was the
14th QB taken, so patience was served nicely in this
instance.
-
Dominic Rhodes:
This was their first reach as his ADP was 127th, but it’s
a good gamble if this team can reach the Championship Round. At that
point, Rhodes could have some good fantasy value.
-
Reuben Droughns:
His NFFC Satellite League ADP was 122, so getting him with the 140th
pick proved to be too good to pass up. They had a choice of Droughns,
Sammy Morris, Brian Leonard, Ron Dayne or Selvyn Young and went with
the sure backup in New York. Can’t argue with that.
-
Bobby Wade: It’s
a reach with the 141st pick, but he could be the Vikings’
leading receiver when all is said and done. Not a bad gamble.
-
Dwayne Bowe: I
like the upside of this former LSU receiver as well and have him in
plenty of leagues. He’s the sixth receiver for this team and well
worth the gamble at the end of Round 12. Now he needs Damon Huard to
progress in Kansas City.
-
Roydell Williams:
Personally, I’ll stay away from Titan receivers and let others
gamble on them. They passed on Jeff Garcia and Greg Olsen, who I
might have looked at with this pick.
-
Dolphins DST:
They took Miami as the 11th DST in this league. We have
them ranked fifth as we think Ted Ginn Jr. can help the special
teams and the defense should continue to excel. Solid pick.
-
Jeff Wilkins:
They beat the kicker run by grabbing Wilkins as the third player at
this position to start the 15th round. Wilkins or Robbie
Gould works here for me as Adam Vinatieri and Nate Kaeding were
already gone.
-
Tony Scheffler:
He was the 24th tight end picked in this league and a
solid backup for Winslow as long as he stays healthy and clicks with
Cutler. I think both things will happen.
-
Joey Harrington:
I’ve seen enough of Harrington during his Detroit days to stay away,
so I’ll let Jesse and Dustin gamble with him now. Garcia in the 13th
round would have worked better for me than Harrington in the 17th
round, but the job is obviously his for the season, which is what
you need in a No. 2 QB.
-
Jerome Harrison:
As active as Jesse and Dustin are in FAAB bidding, this pick won’t
stick around long. But it ended a solid, solid draft from the WCOFF
leaders.”
A Huge thanks to both Rob and Greg for their draft
critiques. Now we will turn the tables as Todd and Jesse will comment on
drafts from the World Championship of Fantasy Football by their
counterparts.
A week after the NFFC drafts, the World Championship of Fantasy Football
held drafts in three cities. In Las Vegas, the 2006 NFFC Champion, Rob
Bennetti of Mokena, Illinois drafted from the eighth position on
Saturday, September 8 in Las Vegas.
Rob Bennetti’s 2007
WCOFF Draft
1.08 Reggie Bush, RB, NO
2.05 Chad Johnson, WR, CIN
3.08 Javon Walker, WR, DEN
4.05 Cadillac Williams, RB, TB
5.08 Santonio Holmes, WR, PIT
6.05 Drew Brees, QB, NO
7.08 Jeremy Shockey, TE, NYG
8.05 Leon Washington, RB, NYJ
9.08 Devery Henderson, WR, NO
10.05 Dominic Rhodes, RB, OAK
11.08 Alex Smith, QB, SF
12.05 James Jones, WR, GB
13.08 Jerome Harrison, RB, CLE
14.05 Ron Dayne, RB, HOU
15.08 Bo Scaife, TE, TEN
16.05 Maurice Stovall, WR, TB
17.08 Chris Henry, WR, CIN
18.05 Minnesota Vikings DST
19.08 Chris Henry, RB, TEN
20.05 Nick Folk, K, DAL
Last year’s WCOFF Champion Todd Ullman give us his comments on
Bennetti’s draft:
1st
round - Reggie Bush
I
love the selection of Bush here. Many drafters were afraid to take him
with a 1st round selection because we already had the advantage of
seeing the Thursday night game and Bush had a bad game against a pumped
up home Colts crowd. Before seeing this game, Bush would probably be
selected anywhere from 4th to 8th or 9th at the latest. Even with one
disappointing game Bush is sure to give Rob the equivalent of at least a
TD per game just on catches. With WCOFF giving 1 pt. per catch for RBs
Bush will be productive all year and have some huge weeks I'm sure.
Rd.
2 - Chad Johnson
So
far I am a big fan of this draft. Chad is my #1 WR this year. Starting
out with a stud RB and#1 WR is ideal.
Rd.
3 - Javon Walker
I am
waiting to see a fault in Rob's draft but so far I can't. I love the
pick of Walker here. He is a top 10 WR in my opinion. Walker has the
kind of skills and attitude of a #1 WR that I expect to translate in to
huge games. Walker is completely healthy now. He's fired up and making
big predictions for the 2007 season. Something about that Mohawk adds to
Walkers swagger this year. Kidding aside, Rob has started his draft with
3 NFL studs that Rob will enjoy watching on the highlights each week.
Rd.
4 - Cadillac Williams
This
is an important pick for Rob. I'm really happy he took a starting RB
here that doesn't look to share the ball much. The Bucs running attack
looks to be consistently productive behind an improved line and no
health concerns entering the season. Cadillac might not seem like a very
exciting pick but it shows Rob's experience as an excellent fantasy
football player to build a solid reliable starting lineup that can put
up big points each week.
Rd.
5 - Santonio Holmes
This
is the first pick that I question of Rob's. Don't get me wrong, I love
Holmes this year and I have tried to draft him as many times as I can.
The reason I don't like this pick is that I think it is extremely
important to secure 3 starting RBs on all my fantasy football teams. I
know you can maybe get a productive RB in rounds 6 and beyond but after
this round the RBs mostly have less chance of being productive
throughout the season. This pick of a 3rd WR before a 3rd RB is an
aggressive, somewhat reckless swing for the fences.
Rd.
6 - D. Brees
Wow.
Once again, Rob takes advantage of his league's fear to draft a player
that they saw have one bad game. Rob could not pass on the value of
getting Brees in the 6th round and I wouldn't either. Once again it is a
shame Rob does not have 3 starting RBs secured but it’s hard to argue
with Brees in the 6th round. That Thursday night Colts game was a
special kind of game for the Colts - at home after a Superbowl win. The
energy in that building and by the Colts players was insane. I am sure
Brees will rebound to be a top 5 QB and probably even top 3 by the time
the season is done.
Rd.
7 - J. Shockey
Round seven seems to be the round to select a TE in 2007 if you want to
secure a top 7 TE. I love Shockey's potential this year and consider him
a great TE to have on your fantasy team. However, by this point I would
be panicking by owning only 2 RBs. I would rather have seen Rob select a
RB here and make due with an 8th or 9th round TE like Witten, Daniels,
or Ben Watson.
Rd.
8 - Leon Washington
Finally, a 3rd RB. At least Washington should score points every week.
The problem I have is that if Rob's team has an injury he has to rely on
a non starting RB to reside in his starting line up. This is a great
pick for the position Rob has put him self in.
Rd.
9 - Devery Henderson
Rob
was probably selecting the highest potential point scorer left at this
time of the draft. I see a significant difference in opinion in our
drafting. I have usually drafted heavy in RBs and Rob seems to try to
build the highest scoring fleet of WRs he can. Point wise Rob's strategy
makes sense. I find it to be dangerous. However in round 9 there are
usually no reliable RBs left on the board so it's too late to turn back
now. Devery Henderson should have many nice games with Brees. Once
again, great value due to 1 poor game at the hands of the Colts.
Rd.
10 - D. Rhodes
A
desperate pick to try to rescue a possible thin RB squad by week 5 or 6.
I like the pick as I feel Rob needs to load up a little on RB potential.
Rd.
11 - Alex Smith
I
like Smith this year as a backup QB. He has great weapons. If there was
a big QB run Rob needed to secure a reliable backup for his squad.
Rd.
12 - James Jones
I
absolutely love this pick. I have been targeting both James Jones and
Jacoby Jones as much as possible as I believe one of those 2 could be
this years Marquez Colston. Is it OK if we all just put the name Marquez
Colston in the fantasy football dictionary as a description of a huge
fantasy football stud that comes out of no where?
Rd.
13 - Jerome Harrison
This
is probably just a difference of opinion but I don't see Harrison as a
desirable backup RB. For some reason, I just can't get excited about
anyone in the Browns backfield. I know this is just RB depth which Rob
really needs.
Rd -
14 - R. Dayne
I
really like this pick for Rob’s team. I like it more than the Harrison
pick one round earlier. R. Dayne has shown that given an opportunity he
can produce valid fantasy numbers. A. Green is the starter in Houston.
Green is clearly past his prime. I like Green as the starter in Houston
but with any injury to this not so young guy, Rob will have a somewhat
proven RB to plug in as needed.
Rd.
- 15 B. Scaife
Very
nice pick. I love Scaife as a 2nd TE this year. The chemistry between Bo
and V. Young is undeniable. If Shockey goes down, Rob should still have
a solid TE to start.
Rd.
16 - M. Stovall
Its
time to load up on backups for Rob's team. By round 16 it’s hard to find
any sure things. Stovall is as good a selection as most in this area of
the draft. Rob should know within about 4 weeks if he has a sleeper or a
waiver wire resident.
Rd.
17 Chris Henry WR - CIN
I
have not taken Henry on any team this year. An 8 week suspension is just
too long for me. When Henry gets back up to speed he is still a #3 WR.
Maybe the best #3 WR in the game but as a #3 you still have to guess
which game will be the occasional big game out of Henry.
Rd.
18 - Vikings
I
love this pick. Its not that I think the Vikings are a top 5 DEF or
anything. The reason I love this is because Rob shows his expertise and
patience by loading up on skill positions knowing he can secure a great
DEF late in the draft.
Rd.
19 - Chris Henry - RB Ten.
By
round 19 there is really nothing exciting left to take. I think this is
an excellent pick for Rob. I feel you can't be too strong at RB. Most of
these late round picks are strong waiver wire candidates. I like that
Rob took a shot with a RB here instead of another WR. It doesn't hurt
that Tennessee has one of the best O-lines in the NFL. If one of the
starters or even both get hurt, Rob has a nice potential fantasy
starter.
Rd.
20 - Nick Folk
Folk
is a kicker. Ok, OK, I usually don't get too in to predicting kickers
but I do have some positive things to say here. Folk has been the
forgotten kicker because he was battling for the position with
Grammatica throughout most of the pre-season. Folk officially won the
job but stayed pretty low on the fantasy radar. Dallas is a great team
for kickers. Nice offense that scores a lot. Nice veteran fantasy move
on Rob's part to not waste a 16th or 17th round pick on guessing which
kicker will have a good year.
Overall
Review - I think Rob had a nice draft. He selected many potential high
scoring players. I won't nitpick which late picks I disagree with as
most of the late picks are just kind of guesses and personal
preferences. The one big problem I have with Rob's draft was probably at
either round 5 or possibly even round 3. We have a difference in
strategy. I think many people have gone a little WR crazy lately. I will
stand by my fantasy football strategy of securing 3 starting RBs at all
costs. My thinking is that if all three work out and seem to be scoring
well regularly, you have the option of starting all three using the one
flex position in WCOFF. The best fantasy football players are still only
right a little better than 60% of the time after rounds 3 or 4. What I
mean by that is that there are always a few duds no one saw coming (2006
examples - Shaun Alexander, Cadillac Williams, Lamont Jordan, Randy
Moss, Jamal Lewis, both CAR RBs etc). Some high picks just don't work
out due to injury or just poor production. If you have at least three
starting RBs and one doesn't work out you can still be just as
competitive by starting 4 WRs and only 2 RBs. I learned this lesson big
time in WCOFF last year after drafting 3 RBs with my 1st 3 picks (LaDanian
Tomlinson, Reggie Bush, and DeShaun Foster). By the time we were
competing for the Championship and the 200K, Foster had become a bench
rider and we were able to recover at WR with a late pick - (Mark
Clayton), and a free agent (M. Furrey) who were huge in our playoff run
and eventual Championship. It is much easier to "get lucky" later in a
draft at the WR position than at the RB position. It is also a lot
easier to find a gem WR in the free agent market than it is to find a
startable RB off the waiver wire. Starting out with only 2 reliable RBs
forces a team to get lucky either with a late round backup pick getting
significant playing time or both starting RBs producing well all year
long. Many managers, including Rob tend to draft with the plan of
starting 2 RBs and 4 WRs. This can be potentially explosive for fantasy
scoring but is just too risky for my tastes. Outside of that one glaring
difference in drafting strategies I loved Rob's picks. If Rob's team can
stay healthy or he can find a reliable 3rd RB in Leon Washington or one
of his later picks or even free agency I think he has a great shot to
win his league and compete in the Championship round for the 300K.
In
our last review we take a look at first time drafters in the WCOFF, as
Greg Ambrosius and Tom Kessenich of Fantasy Sports magazines drafted
from the seventh spot in Las Vegas. Greg and Tom are no strangers to FF
however, as in addition to having played for years and been in countless
industry drafts, they are the founders and operators of the NFFC (and
NFBC). Jesse Herron, one of the new owners of WCOFF will give his
comments.
Greg
Ambrosius’ draft from the seventh position, Saturday, September 8
1.07 Larry Johnson, RB, KC
2.06 Steve Smith, WR, CAR
3.07 Javon Walker, WR, DEN
4.06 Carson Palmer, QB, CIN
5.07 Laveranues Coles, WR, NYJ
6.06 Julius Jones, RB, DAL
7.07 Jeremy Shockey, TE, NYG
8.06 DeShaun Foster, RB, CAR
9.07 Wes Welker, WR, NE
10.06 James Jones, WR, GB
11.07 Ron Dayne, RB, HOU
12.06 Brian Leonard, RB, STL
13.07 Dallas Clark, TE, IND
14.06 Jake Delhomme, QB, CAR
15.07 Miami Dolphins DS
16.06 Nate Kaeding, K, SD
17.07 Marty Booker, WR, MIA
18.06 Green Bay Packers DS
19.07 T.J. Duckett, RB, DET
20.06 Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC
And
here are Jesse Herron’s comments on Greg’s draft:
1st Round: RB, Larry Johnson, KC – I am sure Greg was
pleased to see LJ drop to the 7 hole. LJ has the potential to be a top
three back and will serve as a solid foundation for the team.
2nd Round: WR, Steve Smith, Car – Surprising that the best
WR would fall to 2.06. Paired with LJ, this team is off to a tremendous
start.
3rd Round: WR, Javon Walker, Den – I don’t like the decision
to go WR here. Walker is solid, but RB2 was a much greater need at this
point. I would have reached for either Deuce McAllister or Ahman Green
here as I think you need RB2 to be a solid weekly contributor.
4th Round: QB, Carson Palmer, Cin – No question of the
talent as Carson is clearly a top tier QB. The hole at RB2 bothers me
every round it remains unfilled, but there is no question Palmer will be
a solid franchise QB.
5th Round: WR, Laveranues Coles, NYJ – Coles makes a very
solid WR3, but now the hole at RB2 is almost impossible to overcome. It
is much easier to find value at WR from this point forward….not so much
at running back.
6th Round: WR, Julius Jones, Dal – Finally, the hole at RB2
is covered. Julius is an intriguing pick. It all comes down to his
role in the Cowboys offense. Could be a great pick here and could also
be a bust.
7th
Round: TE, Jeremy Shockey, NYG – Shockey is good tight-end and the
right pick here.
8th Round: RB, DeShaun Foster, Car – I like this pick,
particularly given the lack of RB depth. This team needs Julius Jones
or Foster to step up with a big year to be competitive. We will see the
rest of the draft, but I believe the success of this team clearly
depends on Foster and Jones at this point.
9th
Round: WR, Wes Welker, NE – Welker is a popular sleeper pick this
season. Personally, I am not on the bandwagon as I feel Brady spreads
the ball around too much for Welker to be a consistently strong play.
That being said, he makes a very solid WR4.
10th Round: WR, James Jones, GB – Greg’s first Homer
Pick! Actually, that’s not the case. James Jones was a stud all
pre-season at Green Bay and appears to have the confidence of father
time – Brett Favre. If he gets regular playing time, Jones will be a
staple in the starting lineup.
11th Round: RB, Ron Dayne, Hou – Here’s banking on
Ahman Green breaking down. If he gets in the lineup for the Texans this
pick could work out – as this team is short on running back talent.
12th Round: RB, Brian Leonard, StL – Leonard has talent and
I like him as a sleeper should Steven Jackson come up lane. Good
speculation pick here.
13th Round: TE, Dallas Clark, Ind – Obviously, the value
could not be missed here in the thirteenth round. Personally, with a
solid TE in Shockey – I might have waited on TE2 as you are merely
drafting depth. With that being said, Clark is a very solid TE2.
14th Round: QB, Jake Delhomme, Car – A necessary pick for
bye week purposes and to cover the fear of Carson getting hurt.
15th Round: D/ST Dolphins – A top 5/6 defense in the 15th
round is a solid choice. We have this team in the NFFC, so hard to
disagree with this one.
16th Round: K, Nate Kaeding, -- A top 5 kicker in the 16th
is understandable. Should be solid once again.
17th Round: WR, Marty Booker, Mia – Speculation play on a
bad offense. If he repeats 2006, this was a great pick.
18th Round: D/ST Packers – Ok, truly just a homer pick. If
they get points for the amount of time on the field – I like this pick.
Otherwise, why not wait and pick them up on the wire for $1.
19th Round: RB, TJ Duckett, Det – I like Duckett, but he
never seems to find the field. The last two rounds are to fill rosters
and try to get lucky – maybe he did.
20th Round: WR, Dwayne Bowe, KC – I love this pick. Great
steal in the 20th round.
All in all, Greg did a great job at the WCOFF. His team is solid and
will be very competitive. I worry about the lack of RB depth as it
could be his Achilles’ heel. I predict a record of 6-5 with
approximately 1,400 points through week 11. We will be watching for him
on the leader board.
Our thanks to all the participants for their time and comments on their
counterpart’s draft. This is very interesting information and while
there are differences (league size, ppr for RB, defensive scoring and
roster size) in each competition, since the lineup is the same, the
draft objectives should be the same. I found it very interesting the
Champions of each event had the philosophical difference about strong
three RB versus strong four WR, because both approaches can work – the
goal is still to optimize your team’s scoring. Personally I tend to side
with aiming for the strong receiving corps, because it is unusual for
top receivers to appear throughout the year, while there are usually
running back changes (usually due to injuries) all year long. Since both
competitions utilize the Flex position, strength at either RB or WR (or
even TE) can be effectively utilized.
I will post a short follow up after the regular season has played out in
both the NFFC and WCOFF and see how these four teams did in their quest
for fantasy football’s premier championships.
|